Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 28

Severe Weather in United States

MiddlesexUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 19 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 5 September 2026 at 18:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 23rd strongest of the 35 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 28 August 2026.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued September 5 at 1:16PM EDT until September 5 at 2:30PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA

An estimated 15,052 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 17 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 28 out of 100, at 82 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)28 / 100
Our confidence82%
Coordinates37.6105, -76.6133
Nearest CityWilliamsburg (39 km)
Population Exposed15.1K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-05T17:16:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.b381c111c4f6c713d7ab5464099efb2c611ca52d.001.1

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
40
population
0
cascading
18
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescJames River from Jamestown to the James River Bridge; James River from JRB to HRBT, Including the Elizabeth River; Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD; Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island MD to Smith Point VA
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued September 5 at 1:16PM EDT until September 5 at 2:30PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA
Expires2026-09-05T14:30:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Wakefield VA
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b381c111c4f6c713d7ab5464099efb2c611ca52d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a27b08b3539cc9a3e23652fd7e10286615251889.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 28/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.